FINAL RESULTS
Article published Jul 31, 2025 · 470 days ago
Source article by Thomas Hughes, MarketBeat
Updated July 31, 2026
1 Year Later — Jul 31, 2026
MarketBeat's five picks from late July 2024 are down an average of 2.2% after one year, while the S&P 500 gained 17.7% over the same stretch. That puts the portfolio nearly 20 percentage points behind the benchmark.
Only one of the five selections outperformed the market. AMPX led with a 36.9% gain, but the other four picks dragged the average into negative territory.
The gap widened steadily as the broader market rallied through the period. Four of MarketBeat's five stocks failed to keep pace with the S&P 500's double-digit advance.
6 Months Later — Jan 27, 2026
MarketBeat's five picks from late July are ahead of the S&P 500 by roughly 5 percentage points at the half-year checkpoint. The portfolio returned 14.6% on average versus 9.6% for the index.
Two of the five stocks outpaced the market. AMPX led with a 65.2% gain, driving most of the outperformance. The other three trailed the benchmark.
Author Thomas Hughes focused the original article on buy opportunities for August. The result so far is a net win, though concentrated in one position.
3 Months Later — Oct 29, 2025
MarketBeat's five August stock picks have gained 27.3% over three months, outpacing the S&P 500's 8.3% return by nearly 19 percentage points. The portfolio—featuring Chipotle (CMG), Starbucks (SBUX), Amprius Technologies (AMPX), SoundHound AI (SOUN), and Northrop Grumman (NOC)—delivered these results despite only two of the five picks individually beating the market.
Amprius Technologies drove most of the outperformance, surging 78.3% during the period. That single position accounts for the bulk of the portfolio's market-beating edge.
The other four picks posted more modest results, with two trailing the broader index. Even so, the average return remained strong enough to put MarketBeat's calls well ahead at the three-month mark.
3 Days Later — Aug 1, 2025
MarketBeat's five August picks are down 3.8% on average three days after publication, lagging the S&P 500's 2.0% decline by 1.8 percentage points. Only one of the five picks is currently outperforming the market.
Northrop Grumman (NOC) leads the group with a 2.4% gain, the lone bright spot in an otherwise down week. The other four picks—Chipotle, Starbucks, Amprius Technologies, and SoundHound AI—are all underwater relative to both the market and their entry points.
Three days is a snapshot, not a verdict. Early losses don't predict final outcomes, and single-week moves reflect noise as much as signal. MarketBeat's picks will need more time to demonstrate whether their thesis holds.

Full progress so far — every tracked pick ↓
← swipe to see the full table →
More tracked results